| A classic problem of probability (Category: Mathematics/Probability theory) |
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| Date: 2004-08-12 Number of pages: 1+1 Institution: None |
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A very well known problem of probability theory is presented below: Person P is the winner of a competition and is therefore allowed to compete for a car. The compere introduces P to three doors, labelled A, B, and C, respectively. Behind two of the doors, there are merely cheap toys to be found, but behind one of the doors, a grand new car is waiting for a new owner. Person P is to choose one of the doors, and will be given whatever is found behind it. P chooses door A. After that, the compere unexpectedly opens one of the remaining doors, B, hiding a toy. Then, Person P is given the choice to change to door C. In order to obtain as high probability as possible of winning the car, should Person P change to door C or stick to door A? This document containes a theoretical discussion. |
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